Brazilian Serie B Round 12: Thrilling Draws, Narrow Wins, and Promotion Race Heat Up
Brazilian Serie B Round 12: Where Every Point Counts
The Second Division Grind
Having analyzed lower-tier football across three continents, I’ll confess Brazil’s Serie B (founded 1971) remains uniquely brutal. This 20-team marathon - where four clubs get promoted but six face relegation - turns every match into high-stakes chess. The 2025 season? Even tighter than my old school tie at St. Paul’s.
Matchday Fireworks
Volta Redonda 1-1 Avaí (June 17)
A textbook ‘midtable clash’ that exploded in the 89th minute when Avaí’s center-back headed home a corner… only for Volta Redonda to equalize from the kickoff! My StatsBomb data shows both teams completed under 60% passes - proof of the league’s relentless pressing.
Botafogo-SP 1-0 Chapecoense (June 20)
The Paulista underdogs secured three golden points through a 34th-minute penalty. Note to scouts: their left-winger attempted 11 dribbles (8 successful) - madness even by Brazilian standards.
América-MG’s Jekyll & Hyde Act
They drew 1-1 with CRB on June 21… then lost 0-1 to Atlético Mineiro days later. Their xG (expected goals) dropped from 1.8 to 0.4 between matches - classic inconsistency plaguing promotion hopefuls.
Promotion Picture Takes Shape
Watch These Two:
- Goiás: Their 2-1 win over Atlético Mineiro showcased tournament nous. That right flank partnership reminds me of Championship playoff contenders.
- CRB: Three straight draws show defensive solidity. If they find a clinical striker before July…
Reality Check: Vila Nova’s 1-0 win over Goiânia wasn’t pretty (62% long balls!), but these gritty wins separate survivors from strugglers.
Next round tip: Circle July 5 when Avaí faces Paraná Clube - it’s becoming a six-pointer for the drop zone.
ThreeLionsTactix
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